I’ve been having a number of conversations on Hexchan recently trying to make sense of their politics.

No you have not. There is absolutely no pro-Trump sentiment among Hexbear users. You are full of shit.

https://hexbear.net/post/451217?scrollToComments=false

This user is completely making shit up about Hexbear.

https://hexbear.net/post/451217?scrollToComments=false

If this actually happened this user would be able to link to it to prove it. Everyone should be deeply suspicious of people that make claims "x happened on social media" without actually linking to that claim, they want you to believe their completely bullshit explanation instead of what actually happened.

Imperialism does not mean "of empire". It is an economic system, the highest stage of capitalism.

Source: Trust me bro.

How did you end up making your first comment on an 11 month old post?

lmao

In the 3 years Hexbear has been around it has been attacked A LOT because obviously far right chuds have an interest in messing with leftists but has not to my knowledge had an admin breach. At one point image embeds were completely disabled because they were handing over data they shouldn't though and risked exposing people to doxxing.

Listening to billionaire media on what they think about the people that want to overthrow the billionaires is a sure fire way to fill your brain with rot.

It's not doing better than expected, it has entirely reverted. Its quarterly growth is now outperforming most of the EU. Meanwhile the EU is becoming vassalised by the US as a result of this, which is precisely what the US wanted the war for in the first place and precisely why the US bombed the german-owned Nordstream 2 pipeline. The vast majority of the motivation for this proxy war from the US side is simply that it is vastly increasing european dependency on the US and removing what little sovereignty we had left.

and is making, albeit small, gains

They are making no gains, zero. They have not crossed a single Russian defensive line. They have not come within sight of a dragon's tooth. They have been repelled by artillery before reaching the first line every single time. There are three lines to cross.

Taking a field or a village of 200 people is not a "gain" it is simply space that nobody felt like defending being used for propaganda. These spaces would equally be abandoned by Ukraine at the first sign of pressure because they're simply not worth holding. Highlighting these is desperate cope by the online propagandists that you have to look past and focus on what matters - the actual lines of defence and control.

Doing exactly what is needed to get change to happen when the cops are murdering children in traffic stops by shooting them in the head and then lying about it at every single level of power is good actually.

When the state refuses to provide justice people should absolutely take it. The threat of the population taking their own justice is precisely what motivates states to provide a source of it that they control.

I strongly recommend you actually watch what happened.

I do not see how any political leader making a statement of support for protesters over this heinous act is "opportunistic". It's exceptionally important to have their voices sounding off to maintain momentum and public support.

Say what you will about him not being hard-left enough, I'll give you that. But I don't think it's the time or place for it.

Literally just said this to someone here only yesterday then come across this lol. Ben Norton's journalistic work is so far above anything else right now, you can barely call most media "journalism" by comparison. They act more as influencers than journalists.

On a global scale, there are far more places it would be completely and utterly unacceptable in any way than those that embrace it.

This is inaccurate.

Trans people are MORE accepted in both the middle east and asia than they are in the west and this is caused by collectivist vs individualist culture differences.

Gay rights has been largely accepted in the west while transphobia is still incredibly high. Whereas in the middle east and asia it is the opposite, gay rights are completely not acceptable while trans people are significantly more accepted and have been a normalised feature of their cultural and artistic works for a very long time.

Case in point, even the Iranian state will pay for your transition surgery. But being gay will get you killed.

Excellent video that dives into this topic more here, it is focused on Japan's game industry but touches on the middle east also: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gRrVkZoN93c

Offtopic: Are you actually from the isle of man or just a fan of the flag? I was there 2 weeks ago.

is operated primarily for the purpose of illegal or harmful acts, such as sharing child pornography, human trafficking, inciting/facilitating acts of violence or terrorism, etc.

This should be reserved for criminal activity, civil activity should not be included.

For example, acts of libel and slander are illegal, but it's a civil matter. Same goes for piracy which is quite frankly one of the things that should be promoted on the platform as it will bring people in and sits correctly in the anti-corporate zone of fediverse's goals.

Meanwhile things like hatespeech or child porn are not a civil matter. They are a criminal matter in the vast majority of the world.

The distinction helps to allow addressing the edgier stuff on a case-by-case basis while shutting out the stuff that absolutely should be shut out.

I'm not a writer so I won't embarrass myself. But I'll post my favourite related poem instead by Langston Hughes who should need no introduction, if that's a nono here I apologise but I do enjoy a bit of poetry.

Lenin walks around the world.

Frontiers cannot bar him.

Neither barracks nor barricades impede.

Nor does barbed wire scar him.

Lenin walks around the world.

Black, brown, and white receive him.

Language is no barrier.

The strangest tongues believe him.

Lenin walks around the world.

The sun sets like a scar.

Between the darkness and the dawn

There rises a red star.

There are a lot more ways for community marshalls to gate posting in communities when they're running it properly as opposed to over on reddit where us moderators are fairly limited in the actions we can take. Using karma as a gate will also be somewhat ineffective as instance owners will exist that simply create karma for people.

It's also a fairly unpleasant thing to begin with. Coming from a bunch of bazinga techbro libertarians turning all discussion into a "market". If you accept that gameification isn't going away there's still a good amount of research showing downvotes only hurt platforms and discussion rather than improve it.

There is a score kept in the backend, it just has no frontend in default lemmy and only exists if instance devs want to do something custom with it. Some apps are probably using it.

I have not said you should not support the ukrainian people. The problem is that you do not, you are nationalists that support the ukrainian state, not the lives of human beings. They are two quite separate things.

The Russian economy is worse off

What metric are you using to determine this?

the war will end with Russia getting at most Crimea

This would require the complete and total collapse of Russia and the formation of a new country. Crimea, Donetsk and Luhansk are legally Russia under Russian law. There is no mechanism via which they can be ceded. When everyone eventually sits down at the table they legally can not be put on it by the negotiators that form the Russian side.

I personally think Russia will take everything south of the Dnipro river then hand over the parts that are not Donbass as a political means of showing that the west won against them in some way.

Even if there were a mechanism by which these could be tabled I don't see why they would. They are winning, the counteroffensive is achieving absolutely zero, support is very low across Europe and there is very little evidence that their gains will stop.

What mechanism are you thinking of here? Serious question. How? The only way what you're claiming will happen could possibly occur is via a massive pushback, but that's clearly not happening. You'd need nato to deploy and to kick off ww3 properly.

a coup in the US is completely unrealistic as of now.

I know. But the factionalism and divisions make it more likely than in Russia at the present moment in time. That was the point, to highlight that is incredibly unrealistic to expect it to happen in Russia after we've just had a demonstration of failure with almost no division barring the tantrum that occurred.

Oh wow this thread goes way back. I know what happened here it wasn't defederation but simply Beehaw doing it's ideological thing. I was banned on their instance because I am a socialist much like every other socialist that makes an account here and attempts to post or comment over there.

They alos claim they only defederate for "hate speech" but this is nonsense. They have Hexbear defederated and yet that is the only instance in the entire fediverse with visible pronouns next to usernames, and they crack down far harder on hate speech than any other instance that exists.

The reality of Beehaw is that they are an ideologically motivated neoliberal instance that repress any opposition while pretending that they do not.

EDIT: OH and the irony of their defederation with Hexbear is that it's not even federated with ANYONE as it was using a fork of Lemmy without federation until very recently.

What was?

Ah man. I'm not sure where I did that this time. Tell me what's grated you and I'll take it back. I thought I gave you a pretty explanatory response.

Is it because I keep calling american liberals right wing? I thought the last portion of my comment explained quite well what a real left looks like, that's our left, those are our luke-warm mainstream folks with their socdem policies of welfare capitalism saying all the things that would get you called a tankie on reddit. That's the soft-left of the UK, not even the hard-left.

I think we're going to end up talking past each other as we disagree and there's a few things we'd just end up repeating over and over so forgive me for skipping a chunk here. I will respond to this though:

destroying the economy even further

"Even further" is an odd choice here. The Russian economy is stronger now than before the war sanctions. The sanctions failed miserably, everything that Russia could no longer get from the west it simply gets from South East Asia (China/India mainly) and the Middle East now. Reddit thinks there was some great economic smashing of Russia but it really horribly failed.

Winning the war is unrealistic at this time, would take a long time

"Winning" here is more a question of when parties will get round a table to negotiate again. The war almost ended in April but Boris Johnson put a stop to the deal that would have done that. It could end quickly, it could also take a long time, dependent almost entirely on how long the west wants to drag it out as a proxy war for. There is also the question of whether the US and EU might pivot to a focus on China, which would also result in getting round a table to end the Ukraine war first as they simply do not have the means to focus on both at once.

And about the USA, yeah that’s a bit of a whataboutism. There is a lot of division there and I think they are one bad president away from significantly worsening the situation. We will see about that too I guess.

It's not really whatabout. It's just useful to have a comparative baseline for "division" to understand what is necessary to create and succeed in a coup. Do you think one would succeed in the US under the current conditions? What factions and groups would need to be involved? This thought experiment is useful for understanding the kind of divisions, alliances and coalitions necessary to making a coup succeed elsewhere. It helps ground your thoughts in a more material reality rather than the fantasies peddled in the media circuit.

unlike governments, corporations aren’t subject to many of the regulations governments are

Lmao the governmental security state isn't subjected to those anymore than the corporate security state is. Best you'll get is a limited hangout in 20 years.

But yeah you're not wrong that it's bad already. But it's gonna keep getting worse.

i’m not particularly interested in unpacking the psychology of Putin

We've swapped from discussing the actual concept of power, factions and influential forces that lead to a country going in one direction or another to "putin".

Do you think that this war would not have happened if a different leader existed? Which politician in United Russia would not have started this war? Which politician in the communist party? Anyone?

Get past the idea that this war was caused by one man. There are material causes and forces at work that go beyond that. Once you get past that then you can start to understand how and why things happen, something that is extremely useful in avoiding its outcome next time - something I absolutely want to see happen but also something I am not sure americans are capable of given that you've supported every single forever war america has ever engaged in.

and if "Stirring the pot remains your intention rather than calm, rational discourse, I suggest you try antagonizing someone else.

Hmmm I do have a somewhat constructive motivation, I'm trying to change the context a little. One thing I've found with my interactions on reddit is that americans don't tend to have an understanding of the left at all, given that the democrats are to the right of our right-wing. A lot of them say things like they want a nice welfare state but have no understanding of how radical the left has to be in order to achieve one, or to defend its existence. Jeremy Corbyn defends the USSR publicly and loudly. Diane Abbot has defended Mao on national TV. John McDonald publicly states "it is my job to overthrow capitalism". Frankie Boyle says we shouldn't be violent, we shouldn't do anything illegal, instead we should make it legal to kill all the capitalists, on national TV with the BBC funded by the taxpayer. My point in stirring a bit is to draw a little more attention to the culture differences we have. Because Americans often seem to mistakenly think they have a left when they don't, and I've found that drawing attention to these significant baseline differences sometimes inspires a bit more curiosity in american liberals to understand it.

And the point of answering why it happened is because it is a necessary component of finding the solution.

Let's try this instead, so that we're not focused on me and we're in an area that's a bit more constructive: Why do you think the war happened? What caused it?

I don't think I've insulted liberals that much here but for the sake of stirring the pot this is the general sentiment toward them in my city: It might help some culture differences going on here.

Let's keep it calm yeah? Keep in mind that nothing either of us do or say here matters and there is zero need for it to get emotional. There's no need whatsoever for this to turn nasty and it'd be a shame if it did.

edit: something that has always fascinated me is how someone could so ardently claim to be a “Marxist” while going to such lengths to defend the actions of an oligarchic autarch of a strictly capitalist and fascist country.

Nobody has said that. However calling it a fascist country is just a complete misunderstanding of fascism. There is a faction of fascists in Russia, Navalny being a core figure among them. Putin and his faction are authoritarians, deeply unpleasant people, but fascists they are not and misusing the word is misguided. We should use it accurately.

I've also not defended them. I've said what the left's interpretation of the causes of this war are. You've turned that into "defender of russia" yourself. I can assure you that I and none of the other people I reeled off on that list are fans of the russian state. I want an end to the war, and I didn't want a state to it either. The difference between our factions is that liberals seem to think more guns and more bombs end wars, whereas socialists do not.

well, when the fact that the illegal Russian invasion of Ukraine is what started the war is what’s inconvenient, that’s when “narratives” and “interpretations” assert themselves to deflect blame and cast aspersions upon others who some happen not to like for whatever reason.

You're doing the "narrative" here. You can't stop yourself from talking like a deeply propagandised individual, this phrase "illegal Russian invasion of Ukraine" is not how normal people talk, it's precisely the language used to set a narrative, and is repeated over and over and over and over in liberal media as part of media collaboration with western interests to set this as the official line of the west and deeply engrain it in its populations. With that said this is a particularly american turn of phrase and is not one used in Europe after the pushback against it succeeded, resulting in at least a little more nuance in our regional politics on the matter.

It, however, doesn’t change the facts of the matter, regardless of how many straw men, ad hominem, whataboutisms, or other logical fallacies get bandied about.

That Russia invaded? Yes certainly. But without the context, without understanding the forces in play, without understanding the influences and the historical context you can't tell me WHY russia invaded. And that's the thing here. The liberal explanation of why is just "Because Putin grrrrr, conqueror!", which is I think something you must agree is not really an adequate or academic explanation.

People should pay attention to these incidents of corporate security-state forces performing these kinds of actions against individual targets. It is a matter of time before individual targetting expands to widespread activity. Such "intelligence services" in corporate organisations will expand in power in much the same way intelligence services expand in power in government organisations. They function the same way as the security state does.

It's completely a matter of interpretation and narratives. The western community has one that serves their interests while Russia has one that serves their interests. Meanwhile the left has a completely different one that recognises the military industrial complex of america profiting off of its new forever war while millions of innocents are sent to their deaths.

You subscribe to the liberal one. That's fine. I do not.

I suspect our opinions differ on what "sovereign" actually is here too. I don't consider much of Europe to be particularly sovereign, but instead to be vassal states of US empire referred to colloquially by the american media as "the international community", a funny name given that it excludes 2 thirds of the world. We probably differ on that opinion as well though.

that’s an… interesting viewpoint, and, as a “Westerner”, i see little evidence to support this narrative aside from some Western think tanks both existing and, perhaps thinking what you propose.

You only need to look at (very small) sample of the attendees of the Atlantic Council's meetings to see that it is directly responsible for a huge amount of policy. These people aren't attending for a laugh, they attend because they know its power and have the same interests and goals as the organisation.

Understanding the role of these organisations in the wider net of actors is a fundamental knowledge area that most liberals don't have as a result of only really paying attention to media, who always play their role down as the media functions as fundamental collaborators with state interests.

as for what started this war? that was Russia’s illegal invasion of another sovereign nation. period. and, unless you’re implying that “the West” or even the US somehow controls him or his actions, I don’t see how either had anything to do with Putin’s decision to invade Ukraine.

This is the liberal western interpretation. It is not the global left's interpretation which has a fairly significant consensus that this war was caused by nato expansionism, ignoring fair security concerns, and the 2014 coup that led to the civil war that preceded this. The left generally doesn't view this war as having started in 2022 but instead in 2014, with Russia eventually joining as a belligerent after exhausting the potential methods of ending it via the Minsk agreements. Both the anarchist and socialist left worldwide pretty much agrees on this, with people ranging from Chomsky, Vijay Prashad, Wolff, Yanis Varoufakis, Lula, Corbyn, Cuba, Bolivia, european socialist parties etc etc etc all having the same take across the board. None of whom get much media exposure of that of course, because like I said before the western media is collaborative with the interests of western states.

I think for context I should add that I live in the UK and that from the perspective of British politics, american liberals are to the right of our conservatives, most of you would be Tories in the UK. Understanding this context is probably important for you to understand that I do not include liberals when I say "left" or "global left", the american democrats are extremely right wing.

When companies are so large they have internal secret police doing spook shit at the highest levels of the company.

I think any serious presidential competitor has yet to emerge - none of the Communist candidates, or Navalny, are credible IMO. 9 months is plenty of time to make a campaign happen though.

I don't think this is realistic. You're asking for sweeping massive electoral pattern changes that won't happen without a massive crisis functioning as a catalyst. I can't see a source for such a crisis on the horizon though, the frontline isn't going to change while the economic sanctions were resoundingly defeated and hurt we european residents significantly more than Russians.

FWIW if you want examples of leadership changes during a war, how about Neville Chamberlain?

Chamberlain was not changed by an election of the population of the UK, he was changed by Conservative party infighting leading to the 1922 committee demanding his resignation in a "do it or we'll do it for you" ultimatum, as they have always done. Chamberlain resigned his position as leader of the Conservative party and Churchill took it.

There was no election in the UK between the years of 1935 and 1945.

Or the two revolutions in Russia itself in 1917?

Generated by an unpopular war in a series of wars that the tsar repeatedly got people killed in for his vanity. This is not an unpopular war though and there is no anti-war movement, it is supported by every political faction of the country. Even the euro liberals don't openly state their opposition and that's not because they would disappear (they wouldn't) but because it would be wildly unpopular and harm their political growth, they are forced into silence through the conditions that currently exist.

that Putin will be simply “encouraged” behind the scenes to retire rather than run again

This requires factional fighting, which is non-existent at this time. He has broad across the spectrum support both in his party and in opposition groups because they all see him as ushering in a multi-polar world, which is extremely beneficial to the interests of every faction that exists. I still do not see where you think the factionalism exists for this to happen. Who? Why? What faction is going to push him out and for what purpose? With everyone wanting to see the completion of this project there's no faction internally to interrupt it.

Yeah? Which one? CGTN? Sixth Tone? Ever meet Jingjing? I assume it's an english one given you seem to be a native speaker.

This answer doesn't actually refute the article on whether it is accurate or not so I guess you're going to agree that it's accurate then?

Is China special? Not really. I’d argue that all large-scale news organizations around the world function as propaganda of a sort, whether private or public. China’s is usually just more ham-fisted.

Absolutely 100% and we have the CIA's John Stockwell in the 70s discussing about their complete and total infiltration of and ability to put out anything they want in the media back in then, their control and ability has only advanced in the 50~ years since.

Small local newspaper media on the other hand is often populated with good people, even the ones owned by very large corporations, because of the reduced pool of potential writers and staff.

Oh I apologise I forget sometimes everyone here isn't a marxist now after the reddit waves, marxists would just pick up the intention from context and keeping up with news via parties and groups they're in. The "they" here is generally western aligned think tanks and forces. In particular the Atlantic Council which is largely responsible for a lot of US policy has been pushing it around in the media recently.

And how in the world do you get from here to there? Because all i see now is a fractured and demoralized military that’s lost all momentum, a weakened Putin, a shocked Russian public, and Prigozian and Lukashenko (and who knows who else) lurking in the wings. A lot has already changed, and uncertainty abounds.

A marxist understanding of the war in Ukraine is as a war that was created by the west, led by the US, that benefits quite a significant number of MIC forces with large influence over US policy. Part of the narrative that maintains support for the war is the ongoing belief that Russia can be defeated, and the method of Russian defeated that has been drummed up is "Russia will collapse" as everyone with any sense can see that there is no military means of victory. If the "Russia will collapse" narrative is destroyed by the reality of a rebellion demonstrating massive support that makes any collapse obviously impossible then the entire house of cards that has been constructed falls down. Thus the result is pushing in the media the notion that it wasn't a real rebellion but instead a grand scheme by devious clever russians.

If you have questions about how the left interprets the war I'm happy to answer.

You're expecting the main opposition - the communist party - to beat him then? Zyuganov?

If that fantasy happened it would split the communist party between the half that is controlled opposition who would see it as "the wrong time" for it to happen and the half who truly want socialist power again. The election would then be redone with a 3 way split between the two factions and Navalny's fascist coalition supported by the euro liberals.

I mean, I would want that outcome as it would result in a real left communist opposition emerging but I think it's incredibly unrealistic. Not to mention that you're expecting the population to boot a leader during the middle of a war? I am not sure how often that has happened, populations understand you keep the same leader during wartime. You would need the population to become against the war for that to occur and uhhh I hate to break it to you but absolutely the support the war and it would take a huge change in the frontline situation to change that - one that I do not think is coming judging by the failures of the counter offensive so far.

Will you reassess this thought in 3-4 weeks if/when nothing else happens? I think it's extremely unlikely that this is a grand scheme and that the reason this is being pushed comes from the fact that they have to keep the idea alive that Russia could collapse at any moment. If it isn't a grand scheme then its failure forces the acceptance that Russia isn't going to collapse and that the war is therefore entirely unwinnable, so it is much easier to present this as not having been a real coup/rebellion at all in order to keep that belief alive.

The Russian government’s internal security apparatus appears incompetent because it did not consider Wagner a threat, even though Prigozhin had been telegraphing his intentions for days (and probably planning it for months). The Russian military appears weak and overstretched, because it could not protect its operational HQ by force. Putin appears weak because he disappeared at the crucial moments, and large parts of Russia appeared sympathetic to Prigozhin even if they weren’t prepared to directly take part. The image of Putin being the supreme ruler in charge of everything looks pretty suspect at this point, and Russians know it because most of the events happened live on Russian state TV.

This is all "appears" "appears" "appears". You are hung up on appearances. You seem to think that if they just appear a certain way to people then that will magically change the balances of factional power in the country.

Liberals have this bizarre idea about where power comes from. You all seem to believe that the population of the country has power, that if the government simply appears weak then it will magically result in the population doing.... Something... And then the government will be overthrown and the war will be won!

Power is derived by those in hierarchical positions in a country to command various things within their positions to occur. And when enough people all align alongside one another and command things to happen together, if the related organisations follow those commands, they hold power.

I acknowledge in my other comments that this is embarrassing (which is quite a similar interpretation to you saying it hurts appearances). But the bottom line is how it affects power in the country. What factions exist and who those factions are aligning themselves behind.

This attempt did not result in anything like a weakening of the state or Putin. It consolidated all the sources of power in the country behind Putin, into statements of support and actions that back it up.

Putin has a long history of wriggling out of difficult situations, and he might still pull things out of the bag, but I think this is the beginning of the end for him.

By what mechanism?

I think you're doing Lukashenko discredit. While he's certainly not a nice man he's one of the very few people whose political careers survived the end of the soviet union, not only that but he prevented shock therapy from happening in Belarus, keeping much of the industry. More recently he managed to avoid the US attempts at regime change and successfully crack down on NED funded NGOs that existed to achieve those ends. All the potato memes should be seen as just that - memes. Lukashenko was the obvious party to go to as capable of being trusted by both Prigo and Putin, able to provide security and assurances to both. Very few others could have done it, Erdogan perhaps but Prigo is wanted for conspiracy to defraud the US in the west, he's on the FBI lists, so he couldn't go to a country with any extradition treaty with the US.

As for the Russian public they seem to view both sides of this disagreement positively, which is the complicated part of it. From their perspective this is two sides that they like having a disagreement. They love Wagner as war heroes but also love the Russian army as heroes too. So this whole situation is a "please stop fighting we like both of you" issue, how much of that is motivated by not wanting it to affect the frontlines is uncertain.

I mostly agree with the rest.